The 2020 Hurricane Season

The predictions for the 2020 hurricane season were for an above-average hurricane season. Philip Klotzbach predicted 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes, and 4 major (Cat 3+) hurricanes this year; updated to 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes. Hurricane season usually runs from June 1 through November 30 – although given the predictions it may extend beyond those boundaries.

From the National Hurricane Center, the 2020 Atlantic tropical cyclone names are: Arthur, Bertha, Cristobal, Dolly, Edouard, Fay, Gonzalo, Hanna, Isaias, Josephine, Kyle, Laura, Marco, Nana, Omar, Paulette, Rene, Sally, Teddy, Vicky, Wilfred.

In the event that more than twenty-one named tropical cyclones occur in the Atlantic basin in a season, additional storms will take names from the Greek alphabet: Alpha, Beta, Gamma, Delta, Epsilon, Zeta, Eta, Theta, Iota, Kappa, Lambda, Mu, Nu, Xi, Omicron, Pi, Rho, Sigma, Tau, Upsilon, Phi, Chi, Psi, Omega.

Arthur

Arthur first storm of 2020

Continuing the trend of the last 10 years, we have our first named storm – before June 1 – the official start of the hurricane season. On Saturday, May 16, 2020, Tropical Storm Arthur formed off of Florida’s east coast.

Tropical Storm Arthur formed on Saturday night off the coast of Florida, making it the first named storm of the 2020 Atlantic hurricane season. Now, forecasters say the storm has its sights set on eastern North Carolina.

Although the official start of hurricane season is June 1, there has been a preseason tropical system for most of the last 10 years, so it is not uncommon to have tropical activity this early, according to AccuWeather Meteorologist Courtney Travis.

Source: UPI.com

UPDATE 5/18/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Storm Arthur is located about 20 miles east-southeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina, with winds of 50 miles per hour and moving north-northeast at 16 miles per hour.

A turn toward the northeast is expected later today, followed by a turn
toward the east on Tuesday. A slower southeast or south-southeast
motion is forecast to begin Tuesday night and continue through
Wednesday.

Bertha

A quickly forming morning storm turned into Tropical Storm Bertha before it weakened into a tropical depression.

Bertha made landfall with maximum sustained winds of 50 mph just to the east of Charleston, South Carolina, Wednesday at 9:30 a.m. EDT, according to the National Hurricane Center.

Source: Weather Underground

UPDATE 5/27/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Bertha is located about 55 miles east-northeast of Columbia, South Carolina, with winds of 30 miles per hour and moving north-northwest at 15 miles per hour.

Additional weakening is expected, and Bertha is forecast to degenerate to a remnant low pressure area on Thursday.

Bertha is expected to produce total rain accumulation of 2 to 4 inches with isolated totals of 8 inches across northeastern South Carolina into west central to far southeastern North Carolina and southwest Virginia. Given very saturated antecedent conditions, this rainfall may produce life threatening flash flooding, aggravate and prolong ongoing river flooding, and produce rapid out of bank rises on smaller rivers.

Cristobal

The third storm formed Monday, June 1 – the official start of hurricane season – in the Bay of Campeche. At 4:00 PM CDT the center of Tropical Depression Three was located about 50 miles west-southwest of Campeche, Mexico, with winds of 30 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 7 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/2/2020 1800 UTC: TD3 strengthened into Tropical Storm Cristobal located about 155 miles west-southwest of Campeche, Mexico with winds of 40 miles per hour moving southwest at 3 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/2/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Cristobal is located about 140 miles west-southwest of Campeche, Mexico with winds of 40 miles per hour moving south at 3 mile per hour.

UPDATE 6/3/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Cristobal is located about 20 miles south of Ciudad Del Carmen, Mexico with winds of 50 miles per hour moving southeast at 3 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/4/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Cristobal is located about 165 south of Campeche, Mexico with winds of 35 miles per hour moving east-southeast at 3 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/5/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Cristobal is located about 535 south of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 40 miles per hour moving north at 13 miles per hour.

Cristobal’s center is forecast to move inland across Louisiana late Sunday and Monday. Winds are 40 miles per hour some strengthening is forecast. The main threats are surge and flooding. Rain totals through Wednesday (6/10) may top 8-12 inches.

UPDATE 6/6/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Cristobal is located about 280 south-southwest of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north at 12 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/7/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Cristobal is located about 65 south of New Orleans, Louisiana with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north at 7 miles per hour.

At 5:10 CDT Tropical Storm Cristobal made landfall about 50 miles south-southeast of New Orleans.

UPDATE 6/8/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Cristobal is located about 135 west-southwest of Memphis, Tennessee with winds of 35 miles per hour moving north at 18 miles per hour.

Dolly

Tropical Depression Dolly formed June 23 at around 1:00 AM EST off of the Atlantic coast about 370 miles south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia with winds of 45 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/24/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Dolly is located about 335 miles south-southeast of Halifax, Nova Scotia with winds of 45 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 12 miles per hour.

UPDATE 6/25/2020 1500 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Dolly is located about 370 miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland with winds of 35 miles per hour moving northeast at 16 miles per hour.

Edouard

Tropical Storm Edouard formed Sunday night, July 6, in far North Atlantic. It’s moving quickly northeastward at 36 miles per hour with maximum sustained gusts of 40 miles per hour. It was located about 530 miles south of Cape Race, Newfoundland.

Colorado State University hurricane research scientist Phil Klotzbach said on Twitter that Edouard is the earliest fifth Atlantic named storm on record. The previous record was Emily, which formed on July 12, 2005.

Source: FoxNews.com

UPDATE 7/7/2020 2100 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Edouard is located about 445 miles southeast of Cape Race, Newfoundland with winds of 45 miles per hour moving northeast at 38 miles per hour.

Fay

Tropical Storm Fay formed on off the coast of North Carolina on July 9. The storm is about 40 miles east-northeast of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina with winds of 45 miles per hour moving north at 7 miles per hour.

Tropical Storm Fay … the earliest 6th Atlantic named storm formation on record. Previous record was Franklin in 2005 on July 22nd.

Source: @philklotzbach on Twitter

UPDATE 7/10/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Fay is located about 10 miles north-northeast of Atlantic City, New Jersey with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north at 14 miles per hour. Fay made landfall just northeast of Atlantic City, New Jersey.

UPDATE 7/11/2020 0900 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Fay is located about 30 miles south of Albany, New York with winds of 35 miles per hour moving north at 17 miles per hour.

Gonzalo

Tropical Storm Gonzalo formed from Tropical Depression 7 this morning (July 22) about 1250 miles east of the southern Windward Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

Gonzalo is the earliest seventh named tropical storm on record to form in the Atlantic basin, according to Dr. Phil Klotzbach, a tropical scientist at Colorado State University. The previous record was held by Tropical Storm Gert, which developed on July 24, 2005.

Source: Weather.com

Tropical Storm Gonzalo is expected to become a hurricane by Thursday as it moves toward the Caribbean Sea.

UPDATE 7/23/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is located about 810 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands with winds of 60 miles moving west at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 7/24/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Gonzalo is located about 390 miles east of the Southern Windward Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 18 miles per hour.

UPDATE 7/25/2020 2100 UTC: Remnants of Gonzalo are located about 125 miles west-northwest of Trinidad with winds of 35 miles per hour.

Hanna

Tropical Depression 8 formed Wednesday (July 22) about 530 miles east-southeast of Port O’Connor, Texas with winds of 30 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 6 miles per hour. Some strengthening is expected, and the depression could become a tropical storm in a day or so. The depression is expected to produce 2 to 4 inches of rain with isolated maximum totals of 6 inches along the Gulf coast from Louisiana to the Lower Texas coast, and inland through south-central Texas and the Rio Grande Valley.

UPDATE 7/23/2020 2200 CDT: TD8 strengthens to Tropical Storm Hanna by 10 pm CDT. It’s located about 385 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas, with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 7 miles per hour.

#Hanna has formed in the Gulf of Mexico – the earliest 8th Atlantic named storm formation on record. Prior record was Harvey on August 3, 2005. #hurricane

Source: @philklotzbach on Twitter

UPDATE 7/24/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Hanna is located about 195 miles east of Corpus Christi, Texas, with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 10 miles per hour.

UPDATE 7/25/2020 1500 UTC: Hurricane Hanna strengthened this morning and is located about 75 miles east-northeast of Port Mansfield, Texas, with winds of 80 miles per hour moving west at 7 miles per hour.

UPDATE 7/26/2020 0000 UTC: Hurricane Hanna made landfall near Padre Island, Texas, around 5:00 PM CDT and again around 6:00 PM CDT in Kenedy County, Texas. Present located about 10 miles northwest of Port Mansfield, Texas, with winds of 85 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 8 miles per hour. Rapid weakening is expected as Hanna moves farther inland.

UPDATE 7/26/2020 2100 UTC: Hanna weakened to a Tropical Depression over northeastern Mexico. Tropical Depression Hanna is located about 35 miles west-southwest of Monterrey, Mexico, with winds of 35 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 9 miles per hour.

Isaias

Tropical Storm Isaias formed late Wednesday (7/29) about 155 miles south of Ponce, Puerto Rico, with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 20 miles per hour.

Tropical Storm Isaias, pronounced ees-ah-ee-ahs, was upgraded from Potential Tropical Cyclone Nine status by the National Hurricane Center (NHC) at 11 p.m. EDT Wednesday. The system strengthened as it developed a more organized center with thunderstorms wrapping around its core — and Isaias became the earliest “I-storm” in recorded history. The prior record holder was Irene from Aug. 7, 2005.

Source: AccuWeather.com

UPDATE 7/30/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Isaias is located about 155 miles west-northwest of Punta Cana, Dominican Republic, with winds of 60 miles per hour moving northwest at 20 miles per hour.

UPDATE 7/31/2020 2100 UTC: Late last night Isaias strengthened to a hurricane. Hurricane Isaias is located about 195 miles south-southeast of Nassau Bahamas with winds of 75 miles per hour moving northwest at 15 miles per hour.

A Hurricane Warning is in effect for the east coast of Florida from Boca Raton to the Volusia/Brevard County Line.

UPDATE 8/1/2020 2100 UTC: Isaias weakens to Tropical Storm and is located about 115 miles southeast of Fort Lauderdale, Florida, with winds of 70 miles per hour moving northwest at 10 miles per hour.

Isaias is expected to regain hurricane strength tonight. Slow weakening is expected to begin Sunday night and continue through Monday.

UPDATE 8/2/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Isaias is located about 65 miles southeast of Cape Canaveral, Florida, with winds of 70 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 9 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/3/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Isaias is located about 60 miles south-southeast of Charleston, South Carolina, with winds of 70 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 16 miles per hour.

Isaias is expected to make landfall tonight at or near hurricane strength along the coast of northeastern South Carolina or southern North Carolina.

UPDATE 8/4/2020 0400 UTC: Hurricane Isaias made landfall near Wilmington, North Carolina, shortly before 12:00 AM EDT with max winds of 85 miles per hour. Hurricane Isaias is located about 30 miles west of Wilmington, North Carolina, with winds of 85 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 22 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/4/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Isaias is located about 20 miles west of Albany, New York with winds of 65 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 40 miles per hour.

By 8/5/2020 0300 UTC Isaias became Post-Tropical Cyclone Isaias, moving into southeastern Canada.

Josephine

Tropical Depression 11 turned into Tropical Storm Josephine this morning and is now (8/13 1500 UTC) located about 975 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 15 miles per hour. The storm is expected to strengthen somewhat over the next 48 hours.

UPDATE 8/13/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Josephine is located about 865 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 16 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/14/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Josephine is located about 460 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 16 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/15/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Josephine is located about 160 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 17 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/16/2020 0900 UTC: Remnants Of Josephine are located about 175 miles north of San Juan, Puerto Rico with winds of 35 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

Kyle

Tropical Storm Kyle formed Friday (8/14) about 185 miles southeast of Atlantic City, New Jersey with winds of 40 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 17 miles per hour. Kyle is forecast to become post-tropical by late Sunday or early Monday.

UPDATE 8/15/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Kyle is located about 715 miles southwest of Cape Race Newfoundland with winds of 50 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 22 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/16/2020 0900 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Kyle is located about 545 miles southwest of Cape Race, Newfoundland with winds of 40 miles per hour moving east at 20 miles per hour.

Laura

Tropical Depression Thirteen strengthened into Tropical Storm Laura this morning (8/21), and it’s located about 230 miles east-southeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west at 21 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/21/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 40 miles east of Antigua with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west at 17 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/22/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 100 miles west of Ponce, Puerto Rico with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 18 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/23/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 115 miles northwest of Port Au Prince, Haiti with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 21 miles per hour.

Laura is expected to move over the central and northwestern Gulf of Mexico Tuesday night and Wednesday. Strengthening is forecast after the storm moves over the Gulf of Mexico, and Laura is forecast to become a hurricane late Tuesday or Tuesday night.

UPDATE 8/23/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 50 miles south of Guantanamo, Cuba with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 21 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/24/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 65 miles east-southeast of Cayo Largo with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 20 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/23/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura is located about 40 miles east of the Isle of Youth winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 20 miles per hour.

Strengthening is expected when the storm moves over the Gulf of Mexico, and Laura is forecast to become a hurricane by late Tuesday. Additional strengthening is forecast on Wednesday.

UPDATE 8/25/2020 1500 UTC: Hurricane Laura is located about 620 miles southeast of Galveston, Texas with winds of 75 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 16 miles per hour.

Laura is expected to strengthen over the next 24 hours and make landfall near Beaumont, Texas late Wednesday night to early Thursday morning as a category 3 hurricane.

UPDATE 8/25/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Laura is located about 480 miles southeast of Lake Charles, Louisiana with winds of 80 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 17 miles per hour.

Laura is still expected to strengthen over the next 24 hours and make landfall near Sabine Lake, Texas, as a category 3 hurricane.

UPDATE 8/26/2020 1500 UTC: Hurricane Laura is located about 235 miles southeast of Galveston, Texas with winds of 125 miles per hour moving northwest at 16 miles per hour.

Laura strengthened to category 4 hurricane by 1:00 PM CDT with winds of 140+ miles per hour. Catastrophic storm surge, extreme winds, and flash flooding expected along the northwest gulf coast tonight.

UPDATE 8/26/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Laura is located about 155 miles south-southeast of Port Arthur, Texas with winds of 145 miles per hour moving northwest at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/27/2020 0500 UTC: Hurricane Laura made landfall about 40 miles south of Lake Charles, Louisiana with winds of 150 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 15 miles per hour with pressure of 27.70 inHg.

Hurricane Laura makes landfall as cat 4 storm over Cameron Parish with 150 mph winds.

Source: 12newsnow.com

UPDATE 8/27/2020 1500 UTC: Hurricane Laura (moving northward overland) is located about 55 miles southeast of Shreveport, Louisiana with winds of 75 miles per hour moving north at 16 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/27/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Laura (it weakened enough about 12 hours after landfall) is located about 80 miles northeast of Shreveport, Louisiana with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/28/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Depression Laura is located about 85 miles northwest of Memphis, Tennessee with winds of 30 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 20 miles per hour.

Marco

Tropical Depression 14 strengthened into Tropical Storm Marco late Friday (8/21) about 180 miles southeast of Cozumel, Mexico with winds of 40 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

The projected path for both storms is southeast Texas and southwest Louisiana. I’m worried these two will decide to “wed” and “honeymoon” near the Sabine River.

UPDATE 8/22/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Marco is located about 50 miles west of the western tip of Cuba with winds of 65 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/23/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Storm Marco is located about 325 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 70 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 14 miles per hour.

Some strengthening is anticipated and Marco is forecast to become a hurricane later today and be at hurricane strength when it approaches the northern Gulf Coast on Monday.

UPDATE 8/23/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Marco (it strengthened within 1 hour of last update) is located about 240 miles south-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 75 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/24/2020 1500 UTC: Tropical Storm Marco (it weakened overnight) is located about 55 miles southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 8 miles per hour.

UPDATE 8/24/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Marco is located about 20 miles east-southeast of the mouth of the Mississippi River with winds of 40 miles per hour moving northwest at 7 miles per hour.

Marco made landfall near the mouth of the Mississippi River around 6:00 PM CDT. It’s expected to weaken to a tropical depression later tonight.

UPDATE 8/25/2020 0900 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Marco is located about 60 miles south of Morgan City, Louisiana with winds of 30 miles per hour moving west at 10 miles per hour.

Nana

Tropical Depression 16 strengthened into Tropical Storm Nana this morning (9/1) in the north-western Caribbean Sea about 120 miles southwest of Kingston, Jamaica with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 18 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/2/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Nana is located about 65 miles northeast of Isla Roatan, Honduras with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/3/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Nana is located about 220 miles west-southwest of Belize City with winds of 35 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 14 miles per hour.

Omar

Tropical Depression 15 strengthened into Tropical Storm Omar this afternoon (9/1) about 225 miles east of Cape Hatteras, North Carolina with winds of 40 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/2/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Omar is located about 265 miles north of Bermuda with winds of 35 miles per hour moving east at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/3/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Omar is located about 345 miles northeast of Bermuda with winds of 35 miles per hour moving east-southeast at 10 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/4/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Omar is located about 475 miles east-northeast of Bermuda with winds of 35 miles per hour moving east at 6 miles per hour.

Paulette

Tropical Storm Paulette formed this morning (9/7) about 1205 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 3 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/7/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 1220 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving northwest at 3 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/8/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 1350 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 65 miles per hour moving northwest at 8 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/9/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 1035 miles east of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 10 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/10/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 885 miles east-northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 9 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/11/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 750 miles northeast of the northern Leeward Islands with winds of 65 miles per hour moving northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/12/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette is about 460 miles southeast of Bermuda with winds of 70 miles per hour moving northwest at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/13/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Paulette (strengthened this afternoon) is about 155 miles southeast of Bermuda with winds 85 miles per hour moving northwest at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/14/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Paulette is about 160 miles north-northeast of Bermuda with winds 105 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 15 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/15/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Paulette is about 740 miles northeast of Bermuda with winds of 100 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 30 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/22/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Paulette reformed this morning and is about 390 miles east-southeast of the Azores with winds of 40 miles per hour moving east at 12 miles per hour.

Rene

Tropical Storm Rene formed this afternoon (9/7) about 115 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/8/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Rene is about 265 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 16 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/9/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Rene is about 590 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/10/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Rene is about 865 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/11/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Rene is about 1165 miles west-northwest of Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/12/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Rene is about 1935 miles east-northeast of the Northern Leeward Islands with winds of 35 miles per hour moving northwest at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/13/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Rene is about 1145 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands with winds 30 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 6 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/14/2020 2100 UTC: Remnants of Rene is about 1045 miles northeast of the Leeward Islands with winds of 30 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 7 miles per hour.

Sally

Tropical Storm Sally formed from Tropical Depression 19 this afternoon (9/12) about 35 miles south-southeast of Naples, Florida with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 7 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/12/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Sally is located about 30 miles south-southwest of Naples, Florida with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 7 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/13/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Sally is about 165 miles south of Panama City, Florida with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 9 miles. Sally is forecast to become a hurricane on Monday.

UPDATE 9/14/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Sally is about 145 miles southeast of Biloxi, Mississippi with winds of 100 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 6 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/15/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Sally is about 85 miles south of Mobile, Alabama with winds of 80 miles per hour moving north at 2 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/16/2020 0945 UTC (445 CDT): Hurricane Sally strengthened to category 2 before making landfall at Gulf Shores, Alabama with winds of 105 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 3 miles per hour. The minimum pressure was 965 MB (28.50 inHg). Rainfall totals

Sally is the 4th hurricane to make landfall in 2020 – first time since 2005 – and it landed in the same place – the same day – that Hurricane Ivan did in 2004.

UPDATE 9/16/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Sally is located about 55 miles north-northeast of Pensacola, Florida with winds of 60 miles per hour moving northeast at 7 miles per hour.

Teddy

Tropical Storm Teddy formed from Tropical Depression 20 this morning (9/14) about 1110 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour. Additional strengthening is anticipated, and Teddy is forecast to become a hurricane in a couple of days.

UPDATE 9/14/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Teddy is about 1170 miles east of the Lesser Antilles with winds of 50 miles per hour moving west at 14 miles per hour. Steady strengthening is forecast for the next several days, and Teddy is expected to become a hurricane Tuesday and could reach major hurricane strength on Thursday.

UPDATE 9/15/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Teddy is about 895 miles east of the Lesser Antilles with winds of 65 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 13 miles per hour. Teddy is expected to strengthen over the next few days – possibly to category 4 – while it stays away from any shorelines.

UPDATE 9/16/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy (strengthened early this morning) is about 710 miles east-northeast of the Lesser Antilles with winds of 100 miles per hour moving northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/17/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy (strengthened to category 4) is about 575 miles northeast of the Lesser Antilles with winds of 140 miles per hour moving northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/18/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy is about 795 miles southeast of Bermuda with winds of 125 miles per hour moving northwest at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/19/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy is about 475 miles southeast of Bermuda with winds of 120 miles per hour moving northwest at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/20/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy is about 245 miles south-southeast of Bermuda with winds of 105 miles per hour moving north-northwest at 9 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/21/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy is about 175 miles east-northeast of Bermuda with winds of 90 miles per hour moving north at 23 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/22/2020 2100 UTC: Hurricane Teddy is about 245 miles south of Halifax, Nova Scotia with winds of 90 miles per hour moving north at 16 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/23/2020 2100 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Teddy is about 70 miles north-northwest of Channel-Port aux Basques, Newfoundland with winds of 50 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 31 miles per hour.

Vicky

Tropical Storm Vicky formed from Tropical Depression 21 this morning (9/14) about 330 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 35 miles per hour moving north at 6 miles per hour. Vicky is expected to be short lived.

UPDATE 9/15/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Vicky is about 640 miles northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 45 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 12 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/16/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Vicky is about 855 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west at 9 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/17/2020 2100 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Vicky is about 1050 miles west-northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 30 miles per hour moving west-southwest at 12 miles per hour.

Wilfred

Tropical Storm Wilfred formed this morning (9/18) about 630 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 17 miles per hour. Wilfred is the last regularly named storm – time to break out the Greek alphabet (NHC actual said that).

UPDATE 9/18/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Wilfred is about 735 miles west-southwest of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 18 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/19/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Wilfred is about 1025 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/20/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Wilfred is about 1025 miles west of the Cabo Verde Islands with winds of 40 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 14 miles per hour.

Alpha

Tropical Depression Twenty-Two Is Expected to Become Tropical Storm Alpha in the Western Gulf of Mexico [September 18, 2020]Source: Weather.com

The storm that was in the far northeast Atlantic formed before the storm in the Gulf.

UPDATE 9/18/2020 2100 UTC: Subtropical Storm Alpha (landfall on Portugal) is about 120 miles north-northeast of Lisbon, Portugal with winds of 45 miles per hour moving northeast at 17 miles per hour.

Beta

Tropical Storm Beta formed (in the Gulf of Mexico) from Tropical Depression 22 this afternoon (9/18) about 335 miles east-northeast of Tampico, Mexico with winds of 40 miles per hour moving north-northeast at 9 miles per hour. Additional slow strengthening is expected through the weekend, and Beta could be near hurricane strength by Sunday night.

UPDATE 9/19/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Beta is about 320 miles east-southeast of Corpus Christi, Texas with winds of 60 miles per hour currently stationary.

UPDATE 9/20/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Beta is about 120 miles south-southeast of Galveston, Texas with winds of 60 miles per hour moving west-northwest at 6 miles per hour. No strengthening is expected, and landfall is forecast for Monday night.

UPDATE 9/21/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Storm Beta is about 25 miles southeast of Port O’Connor, Texas with winds of 45 miles per hour moving northwest at 5 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/22/2020 2100 UTC: Tropical Depression Beta is about 40 miles north of Port O’Connor, Texas with winds of 30 miles per hour moving east-northeast at 5 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/23/2020 2100 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Beta is about 75 miles southwest of Alexandria, Louisiana with winds of 30 miles per hour moving northeast at 13 miles per hour.

UPDATE 9/24/2020 2100 UTC: Post-Tropical Cyclone Beta is about 25 miles west-northwest of Tuscaloosa, Alabama with winds of 25 miles per hour moving northeast at 16miles per hour.

Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19)

This new virus is called severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2, or Sars-CoV-2. The disease it causes is called Covid-19. Source: Wall Street Journal. This is a serious disease – “a potential pandemic.” They think it originated in a (animal) market in Wuhan, China, on December 1, 2019. As of March 3, 2020, the WHO reports that there are 92,315 confirmed cases – 3,131 deaths; 60 cases in the US and 6 deaths.

The WHO and the CDC are monitoring the disease very closely, and they are taking measures to minimize the spread of the disease – no thanks to President Trump and Vice President Mike Pence, his appointed “White House coronavirus response coordinator.” Source: Politico.com

Countries like China (Wuhan specifically) have been shut down; affecting the global economy. Hong Kong, Italy, Spain, South Korean, Japan, and Iran have also been hit hard. There’s talk of a global recession if this goes on for too much longer. (President Trump says it will be over by April, because of the warmer weather.)

A big health concern is the massing of people: any place or event where people gather is considered dangerous. The Summer Olympics, scheduled to open in Tokyo, Japan, on July 24, are in danger of being cancelled – or at best delayed for months. “March Madness” basketball tournaments might be played without fans. The Major League Baseball Opening Day is scheduled for March 26; they’re monitoring the situation.

Update 3/15/2020

Last week the WHO declared COVID-19 is a pandemic. Things are getting worse in the United States. Tomorrow, we’re starting to work-from-home and shelter-in-place for at least 1 week and possibly up to 8 weeks. It is already affecting the US economy, and we are looking at a global recession. Mnuchin dropped the “we could reach 20% unemployment” bomb, and the Fed cut rates to 0.0%. Smaller restaurants and retail shops in my town – and every city and town – are closing; health departments are mandating bars & restaurants close dining rooms. Some restaurants are adjusting – drive through, curbside, home delivery, etc.

Update 4/3/2020

Coronavirus map 4-2-2020
Coronavirus map April 3, 2020. Source: Johns Hopkins University.

As of now there have been 1,076,017 cases worldwide and 58,004 deaths (JHU map); 5,368 cases in Texas and 93 deaths (Texas DSHS). We’ve been ordered to continue to shelter-in-place until April 30.

Many States have postponed their Primaries until Summer. The 2020 Summer Olympics has been postponed until July 2021.

Update 4/15/2020

We are still stay-at-home/work-from-home, but there are signs that we will begin to “restart the economy” in phases in May.

Countries around the world are working to “flatten the curve” of the coronavirus pandemic. Flattening the curve involves reducing the number of new COVID-19 cases from one day to the next.

Source: Johns Hopkins University.

To date there have been 2,006,513 cases and 128,886 deaths worldwide (JHU map); 14,624 cases in Texas and 318 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 5/6/2020

Beginning in May, the President and the states’ governors were looking for ways to jump-start the economy – with coronavirus cases still increasing – and risking more American lives.

President Donald Trump fixed his course on reopening the nation for business, acknowledging that the move would cause more illness and death from the pandemic but insisting it’s a cost he’s willing to pay to get the economy back on track.

Source: Bloomberg.com

As of today there have been 3,688,635 cases worldwide and 258,051 deaths (JHU map); 1,205,138 cases in the United States and 71,078 deaths; 33,369 cases in Texas and 906 deaths (Texas DSHS).

On April 27, 2020, Governor Greg Abbott issued additional Executive Orders (GA-18) to continue the process of reopening the state of Texas: easing restrictions on onsite dining in restaurants (still no bars) , retail shops, movie theaters, malls, museums and libraries, and one-man shops.

Texas A&M President Michael Young basically told everyone to continue to work-from-home until until further notice (probably through May, maybe through June), but he – and Chancellor Sharp – want to have campus open for the Fall 2020 semester; all summer classes/activities will be online.

Update 5/19/2020

As of today there have been 4,829,232 cases worldwide and 319,031 deaths (JHU map); 1,508,957 cases in the United States and 90,369 deaths; 48,693 cases in Texas and 1,347 deaths (Texas DSHS).

On May 18, 2020, Governor Abbott issued an Executive Order (GA-23) to expand reopening the state of Texas: easing restrictions on onsite dining in restaurants (50% capacity), bars (25%), tattoo parlors, child-care, gyms (25%). At the end of May more restrictions will be lifted.

Update 6/4/2020

As of today there have been 6,542,851 cases worldwide and 386,581 deaths (JHU map); 1,852,561 cases in the United States and 107,191 deaths; 68,271 cases in Texas and 1,734 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 6/21/2020

As of today there have been 8,827,934 cases worldwide and 465,051 deaths (JHU map); 2,260,972 cases in the United States and 119,762 deaths; 107,735 cases in Texas and 2,165 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 7/5/2020

As of today there have been 11,304,534 cases worldwide and 531,659 deaths (JHU map); 2,841,124 cases in the United States and 129,689 deaths; 191,790 cases in Texas and 2,608 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Cases have been “spiking” in Arizona, Texas, and Florida, after these states began opening up in June. On Thursday (July 2) Governor Greg Abbott issued an Executive Order (GA-29) requiring all Texans to wear a face covering over the nose and mouth in public spaces in counties with 20 or more positive COVID-19 cases, with few exceptions.

Update 7/8/2020

Texas has once again broken its single-day record for new coronavirus cases. The state reported 10,028 new cases Tuesday [July 7] as officials warned that hospitals are reaching capacity. … The state also set a new record for single-day deaths, with 60.

Source: CBS News

Meanwhile, we are still working from home (week 17), summer classes are 100% online, and we’re in limbo looking at current case numbers and trying to plan for the future. The current plan is to have 50% online and 50% face-to-face classes in the fall with classes starting earlier on August 19, and ending November 24. Class days will be longer too, 8 am – 8:35 pm, and conference rooms will be used as classrooms.

Update 7/18/2020

As of today there have been 14,106,753 cases worldwide and 602,657 deaths (JHU map); 3,647,715 cases in the United States and 139,266 deaths; 307,572 cases in Texas and 3,735 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 8/1/2020

As of today there have been 17,614,426 cases worldwide and 679,987 deaths (JHU map); 4,563,445 cases in the United States and 153,320 deaths; 438,293 cases in Texas and 6,576 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 8/15/2020

As of today there have been 21,394,639 cases worldwide and 770,112 deaths (JHU map); 5,360,277 cases in the United States and 169,475 deaths; 528,838 cases in Texas and 10,268 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Students are back in College Station – “locust” buying everything in stores and queuing up in restaurants – without masks – before the start of the semester on Wednesday (8/19). This is not going to go well.

Update 9/9/2020

As of today there have been 27,617,194 cases worldwide and 898,456 deaths (JHU map); 6,330,316 cases in the United States and 189,733 deaths; 662,575 cases in Texas and 13,792 deaths (Texas DSHS).

Update 9/24/2020

As of today there have been 31,920,652 cases worldwide and 977,311 deaths (JHU map); 6,935,414 cases in the United States and 201,920 deaths; 742,913 cases in Texas and 15,372 deaths (Texas DSHS).

In Brazos County there was a spike after school started almost a month ago, but the number of active cases has come down to 672 as of yesterday. Despite the numbers, Texas A&M plans to host Vanderbilt this weekend for the first of 10 football games this season. The SEC scheduled conference-only games for each of its 9 universities.

Terrible Trifecta

On Friday, September 18, 2020, US Supreme Court Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg dead at age 87 – just 45 days before Election Day – thus leaving a power vacuum in the highest court of the land. (There are now 5 conservative and 3 liberal justices.) Thus the stage is set for a terrible trifecta: a Supreme Court battle, a contentious presidential election, and a worsening (COVID-19) pandemic.

COVID-19 Is Just A Virus

I’m sharing this from a cousin (Facebook). He’s a lawyer and a smart man.


I shared this from a friend. Excellent read:

Chicken pox is a virus. Lots of people have had it, and probably don’t think about it much once the initial illness has passed. But it stays in your body and lives there forever, and maybe when you’re older, you have debilitatingly painful outbreaks of shingles. You don’t just get over this virus in a few weeks, never to have another health effect. We know this because it’s been around for years, and has been studied medically for years.

Herpes is also a virus. And once someone has it, it stays in your body and lives there forever, and anytime they get a little run down or stressed-out they’re going to have an outbreak. Maybe every time you have a big event coming up (school pictures, job interview, big date) you’re going to get a cold sore. For the rest of your life. You don’t just get over it in a few weeks. We know this because it’s been around for years, and been studied medically for years.

HIV is a virus. It attacks the immune system, and makes the carrier far more vulnerable to other illnesses. It has a list of symptoms and negative health impacts that goes on and on. It was decades before viable treatments were developed that allowed people to live with a reasonable quality of life. Once you have it, it lives in your body forever and there is no cure. Over time, that takes a toll on the body, putting people living with HIV at greater risk for health conditions such as cardiovascular disease, kidney disease, diabetes, bone disease, liver disease, cognitive disorders, and some types of cancer. We know this because it has been around for years, and had been studied medically for years.

Now with COVID-19, we have a novel virus that spreads rapidly and easily. The full spectrum of symptoms and health effects is only just beginning to be cataloged, much less understood.

So far the symptoms may include:

  • Fever
  • Fatigue
  • Coughing
  • Pneumonia
  • Chills/Trembling
  • Acute respiratory distress
  • Lung damage (potentially permanent)
  • Loss of taste (a neurological symptom)
  • Sore throat
  • Headaches
  • Difficulty breathing
  • Mental confusion
  • Diarrhea
  • Nausea or vomiting
  • Loss of appetite
  • Strokes have been reported in some people who have COVID-19 (even in the relatively young)
  • Swollen eyes
  • Blood clots
  • Seizures
  • Liver damage
  • Kidney damage
  • Rash
  • COVID toes (weird, right?)

People testing positive for COVID-19 have been documented to be sick even after 60 days. Many people are sick for weeks, get better, and then experience a rapid and sudden flare up and get sick all over again. A man in Seattle was hospitalized for 62 days, and while well enough to be released, still has a long road of recovery ahead of him. Not to mention a $1.1 million medical bill.

Then there is MIS-C. Multisystem inflammatory syndrome in children is a condition where different body parts can become inflamed, including the heart, lungs, kidneys, brain, skin, eyes, or gastrointestinal organs. Children with MIS-C may have a fever and various symptoms, including abdominal pain, vomiting, diarrhea, neck pain, rash, bloodshot eyes, or feeling extra tired. While rare, it has caused deaths.

This disease has not been around for years. It has basically been 6 months. No one knows yet the long-term health effects, or how it may present itself years down the road for people who have been exposed. We literally do not know what we do not know.

For those in our society who suggest that people being cautious are cowards, for people who refuse to take even the simplest of precautions to protect themselves and those around them, I want to ask, without hyperbole and in all sincerity: How dare you?

How dare you risk the lives of others so cavalierly. How dare you decide for others that they should welcome exposure as “getting it over with”, when literally no one knows who will be the lucky “mild symptoms” case, and who may fall ill and die. Because while we know that some people are more susceptible to suffering a more serious case, we also know that 20 and 30 year olds have died, marathon runners and fitness nuts have died, children and infants have died.

How dare you behave as though you know more than medical experts, when those same experts acknowledge that there is so much we don’t yet know, but with what we DO know, are smart enough to be scared of how easily this is spread, and recommend baseline precautions such as:

  • Frequent hand-washing
  • Physical distancing
  • Reduced social/public contact or interaction
  • Mask wearing
  • Covering your cough or sneeze
  • Avoiding touching your face
  • Sanitizing frequently touched surfaces

The more things we can all do to mitigate our risk of exposure, the better off we all are, in my opinion. Not only does it flatten the curve and allow health care providers to maintain levels of service that aren’t immediately and catastrophically overwhelmed; it also reduces unnecessary suffering and deaths, and buys time for the scientific community to study the virus in order to come to a more full understanding of the breadth of its impacts in both the short and long term.

I reject the notion that it’s “just a virus” and we’ll all get it eventually. What a careless, lazy, heartless stance.

All the Makings of a Shitstorm

What’s going on and how did we get here? Violent protests have been raging across the country for a week after George Floyd, a black man, 46, was killed (murdered) by Minneapolis police officer Derek Chauvin on Monday, May 25, while Chauvin was trying to subdue Floyd with his knee on Floyd’s neck.

The independent autopsy [released June 1] says Floyd died of “asphyxiation from sustained pressure” when his neck and back were compressed by Minneapolis police officers during his arrest last week. The pressure cut off blood flow to his brain, that autopsy determined….The officer had his knee on Floyd’s neck for eight minutes and 46 seconds in total and two minutes and 53 seconds after Floyd was unresponsive, according to the criminal complaint against Chauvin, who faces charges in the death.

Source: CNN

Today, President Trump stirred the pot.

An active duty military police battalion consisting of 200 to 250 military personnel is now in the process of deploying to Washington, DC, and could be in the nation’s capital as soon as tonight, three US defense officials tell CNN.

Source: CNN

And he put the rest of the United States on notice. He threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act of 1807.

Declaring himself “your president of law and order,” President Donald Trump vowed Monday to return order to American streets using the military if widespread violence isn’t quelled

Source: CNN

But, the world is paying attention and they support the protests 100%.

Global Anger Grows Over George Floyd Death, and Becomes an Anti-Trump Cudgel
The criticism thundered from the streets of Berlin, London, Paris and Vancouver, to capitals in Africa, Latin America and the Middle East.

Source: NY Times

Meanwhile, Governor Greg Abbott deployed the Texas National Guard to major cities in Texas, and today he declared a State of Disaster across all counties in Texas.

Texas Governor Greg Abbott declared a State of Disaster for all Texas counties after violent protests endangered public safety and threatened property loss and damage. This declaration gives the Governor the ability to designate federal agents to serve as Texas Peace Officers.

Source: News 4 San Antonio

I don’t see this ending well for anyone.

Oh yeah, Texas also had a record number of COVID19 cases for one day on Sunday: 1,949. And, there’s a tropical depression brewing off of the Yucatan peninsula.

Update 6/8/2020

Thousands pay tribute to George Floyd at public viewing in Houston

Update 6/10/2020

Even Texas A&M has felt the hatred of protesters. The Sul Ross statue was vandalized overnight with a rainbow-colored wig and graffiti – someone sprayed the words BLM, ACAB, and racist (and graphic depictions of the male sexual organ) on the statue with red paint.

Lawrence Sullivan “Sully” Ross was a Brigadier General during the Civil War and commander of the Texas Cavalry Brigade. After the war, he served as a Texas state senator, governor of Texas and, ultimately, president of the troubled Agricultural and Mechanical College of Texas, which eventually became Texas A&M University.

Source: KBTX.com

Organizers of the local Black Lives Matter group posted on Facebook that no one in their group did this.

Since the George Floyd protests started there has been a petition going around to remove the statue. Petitioners and protestors plan a peaceful protest on Saturday June 13, where they’ll walk from the administration building to the statue. Counter protesters (Aggies who want to keep the statue) say they’ll be a the statue on Saturday as well.

Memorial Day Ribs 2020

It’s Memorial Day weekend once again, and it’s time to make bbq ribs. This year is unique. It’s been 10 years since I started this tradition (yay), and we are in the midst of a coronavirus pandemic (boo). Last year, you may recall, I made some good ribs. This year, the rain forecast for Sunday and Monday is threatening to wash out the smoker portion of our rib day so I’m cooking them on Saturday.

Ingredients

(Meat)
2 slabs (~6 lbs) of baby back ribs
2 Shiner Smokehouse sausages

(Rub)
4 tablespoons firmly packed dark brown sugar
4 tablespoons white sugar
2 tablespoons paprika
2 tablespoons garlic powder
2 tablespoons ground black pepper
2 tablespoons onion powder
2 teaspoons cumin powder

(Sides)
Potato Salad
Corn on the cob

(Condiments)
Sweet Baby Ray’s Honey Barbecue Sauce
3 A.M. Bobby Que Original barbecue sauce [my local favorite]
Sliced pickles
Sliced white onion
Sliced cheddar cheese

Cook

After 10 years I’m getting better at this part. Start with thawed (refrigerator temperature) ribs. Take the membrane off the bone and cover in a rub 1-2 hours before cooking. Cook uncovered ribs (bone side down) on a cooking sheet in the oven at 250° F for 2 hours. Wrap them with heavy duty aluminum foil, and cook for another 2 hours. Finish them uncovered with bbq sauce (in the oven or in a 250° F smokey grill) for up to 30 minutes; check them every few minutes.

Corn on the cob is easy: shuck, boil for 6 minutes, plate with butter and salt.

It’s Barbie’s tradition to cook the potato salad, and she’s not divulging any secrets today. She said it has potatoes, boiled eggs, mayonnaise, mustard, relish, and onion.

I didn’t cook the sausage – 4 lbs of ribs seemed like enough – and it was.

Results

The potato salad had perfectly sized pieces of potato, and it was delicious. The corn on the cob was sweet, crisp and good. The ribs were tender and yummy (a little over cooked). Since I got the ribs on different days in May I got two brands: Indiana Kitchen (2.36 lbs) and Kroger Natural Ribs (2.47 lbs); couldn’t tell the difference when cooked.

Coronavirus Vaccine Candidate Shows Promise

With ever mounting deaths, scientists have been under pressure to develop a COVID-19 vaccine.

Moderna, Inc., reported that they have developed a COVID-19 vaccine that is safe. Phase I testing (45 subjects) appears to elicit the kind of immune response capable of preventing the disease. There were no no serious side-effects after the first trial. Source: NPR

Phase II can start right away, and the company hopes to start phase III in early July.

Prediction for 2020 Hurricane Season

This year, Philip Klotzbach, hurricane researcher at Colorado State University, tweeted we should expect an above-average season because of the lack of #ElNino. They predict 16 named storms, 8 hurricanes and 4 major (Cat 3+) hurricanes; 69% chance at least one major hurricane will hit the US.

UPDATE 8/5/2020

Researchers from Colorado State University issued an update to the 2020 hurricane season forecast and now indicate it will be one of the most active on record. Now they predict 24 named storms, 12 hurricanes, and 5 major hurricanes.

Source: WMBF News

The 2020 Primary Election

The schedule for Democratic and Republican primaries and caucuses is very confusing and convoluted. A good place to start is with Frontloading HQ.


Coronavirus Updates

Starting March 15, 2020, the United States did something unprecedented (in modern times) – every non-essential worker was told/ordered to stay-at-home and/or work-from-home. This included primary workers. So, as a result, many states’ primaries were rescheduled.

The 2020 Democratic National Convention which was scheduled to take place in Milwaukee, Wisconsin, on July 13-16, 2020, was delayed to August 17-20 due to concerns over the COVID-19 pandemic.

Democratic presidential primaries that were rescheduled/canceled:

PrimaryOriginalNewVote in person
OhioMarch 17April 28Cancelled
GeorgiaMarch 24June 9Scheduled
Puerto RicoMarch 29TBDTBA
AlaskaApril 4April 10Cancelled
WyomingApril 4April 17Cancelled
HawaiiApril 4May 22Cancelled
LouisianaApril 4July 11Scheduled
MarylandApril 28June 2Scheduled
ConnecticutApril 28August 11Scheduled
Rhode IslandApril 28June 2Scheduled
DelawareApril 28June 2Scheduled
PennsylvaniaApril 28June 2Scheduled
New YorkApril 28June 23
GuamMay 2TBDTBA
KansasMay 2May 2Cancelled
IndianaMay 5June 2Scheduled
West VirginiaMay 12June 9Scheduled
KentuckyMay 19June 23Scheduled
New JerseyJune 2July 7Scheduled

The 2020 Republican National Convention will be held from August 24 to 27, 2020, in Charlotte, North Carolina.

Republican presidential primaries were rescheduled:

  • The Ohio primary was rescheduled from March 17, 2020, to June 2, 2020. It was later rescheduled again from June 2 to April 28.
  • The Georgia primary was rescheduled from March 24, 2020, to May 19, 2020. It was later rescheduled again from May 19 to June 9.
  • The Louisiana primary was rescheduled from April 4, 2020, to June 20, 2020.
  • The Connecticut primary was rescheduled from April 28 to June 2.
  • The Delaware, Maryland, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island primaries were rescheduled from April 28, 2020, to June 2, 2020.
  • The Indiana primary was rescheduled from May 5, 2020, to June 2, 2020.
  • The West Virginia primary was rescheduled from May 12, 2020, to June 9, 2020.
  • The Kentucky primary was rescheduled from May 19, 2020, to June 23, 2020.
  • The New Jersey primary was rescheduled from June 2, 2020 to July 7, 2020.
  • The Ohio primary was rescheduled from March 17, 2020, to June 2, 2020. was later rescheduled again from June 2 to April 28.
  • The Georgia primary was rescheduled from March 24, 2020, to May 19, 2020.[228] It was later rescheduled again from May 19 to June 9.
  • The Louisiana primary was rescheduled from April 4, 2020, to June 20, 2020.[237] It was later rescheduled again from June 20 to July 11.[209]
  • The Connecticut primary was rescheduled from April 28 to June 2.[205] It was later rescheduled a second time to August 11.[210]
  • The Delaware, Maryland,[238] Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island primaries were rescheduled from April 28, 2020, to June 2, 2020.
  • The Indiana primary was rescheduled from May 5, 2020, to June 2, 2020.
  • The West Virginia primary was rescheduled from May 12, 2020, to June 9, 2020.
  • The Kentucky primary was rescheduled from May 19, 2020, to June 23, 2020.[239]
  • The New Jersey primary was rescheduled from June 2, 2020 to July 7, 2020.[240]

The Democratic candidates are Bernie Sanders, Joe Biden, Pete Buttigieg, Elizabeth Warren, Tom Steyer, Amy Klobuchar, Tulsi Gabbard, Michael Bennet, John Delaney, Deval Patrick and Andrew Yang.

The Republican candidates are Donald Trump, Bill Weld, Rocky De La Fuente, Mark Sanford and Joe Walsh.

February 3

Iowa caucuses took place on February 3, 2020, but there wasn’t a clear Democratic winner because a new application (mobile app) failed to tally and report the votes correctly.

Monday night’s Iowa caucuses dragged on into the early hours of Tuesday with no clear Democratic winner declared, and the New York Times reported that a brand-new, untested mobile app designed in just two months was at least partially to blame for the holdup in results.

Source: Forbes

The Iowa Democratic Party (IDP) – the folks who commissioned the app – promised to have the majority of results published by 5 PM (ET) today.

On February 9, 2020, Iowa finally allotted Pete 14 delegates, Bernie 12, Elizabeth 8, Joe 6, and Amy 1, out of 41 for the Democratic caucus. For the Republican caucus, Donald got 39 and Bill got 1, out of 40.

Both Pete and Bernie requested a recount, which (completed Feb. 27) didn’t change the results, and it was finally certified by the IDP on February 29.

Withdrawals Before the Primaries

Democratic candidates who withdrew before the Primaries started: Beto O’Rourke, Bill de Blasio, Cory Booker, Eric Swalwell, Jay Inslee, Joe Sestak, John Delaney, John Hickenlooper, Julián Castro, Kamala Harris, Kirsten Gillibrand, Marianne Williamson, Mike Gravel, Richard Ojeda, Seth Moulton, Steve Bullock, Tim Ryan, Wayne Messam. Source: Wikipedia.

Republican candidates who withdrew before (or shortly after) the Primaries started: Joe Walsh, Mark Sanford. Source: Wikipedia.

February 11

New Hampshire primary results: Bernie 9, Pete 9, Amy 6, out of 24 total. For Republicans, Donald 22, out of 22 total.

Today, after the NH primary, Michael Bennet and Andrew Yang dropped out. On February 12, Deval Patrick suspended his campaign.

February 22

Nevada caucus results: Bernie 24, Joe 9, Pete 3, out of 36 available. For Republicans, they cancelled their caucus so Donald presumably gets all 25 delegates.

Side note: Michael Bloomberg (billionaire, former mayor of New York) qualified for the debate in Nevada (Feb. 19), but he was not on the ballot. He’s trying to buy his way in.

February 29

Happy Leap Day! South Carolina (D) primary results: Joe 39, Bernie 15 out of 54 delegates.

On March 1, Pete dropped out and gave his support to Joe.

On March 2, Amy dropped out and gave her support to Joe. Beto also gave his support to Joe.

March 3

“Super Tuesday” is primary/caucus day for Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Utah, Vermont, Virginia (D), and American Samoa (D).

If you’re keeping count, going into Super Tuesday, Bernie 60, Joe 54, Elizabeth 8, and Michael 0.

In Texas early voting starts February 18. If needed, the primary election runoff day will be May 26, 2020.

Texas has 228 Democratic delegates and 155 Republican delegates. 1283 The results for Texas are Joe 111, Bernie 102, Michael 10, Elizabeth 5 out of 228 Democratic delegates. For Republicans, Donald 117 of 155 total.

Nationally, the totals so far are Joe 596, Bernie 531, Elizabeth 65, Michael 58, Pete 26, Amy 7, and Tulsi 1.

After spending $500+ million Michael Bloomberg dropped out on March 4. Bernie announced on March 4 that he will drop out if “Biden gets plurality” going into Democratic convention. On March 5, Elizabeth Warren withdrew from the race. This leaves Joe, Bernie, and Tulsi is still running.

UPDATE: It looks like Texas is headed for primary runoff elections on July 14.

Here are the races in Texas as of July 1.
President Democratic candidate:
Joe Biden
President Republican candidate:
Donald Trump
US Senate Democratic candidates:
Mary Jennings Hegar
Royce West
US Senate Republican candidate:
John Cornyn (incumbent)
U.S. House of Representatives (District 17) Democratic candidates:
Rick Kennedy
David Jaramillo
U.S. House of Representatives (District 17) Republican candidates:
Pete Sessions
Renee Swann
Texas House of Representatives (District 14) Democratic candidate:
Janet Dudding
Texas House of Representatives (District 14) Republican candidate:
John Raney (incumbent)
Railroad Commissioner Democratic candidates:
Chrysta Castañeda
Roberto “Beto” Alonzo
Railroad Commissioner Democratic candidate:
James “Jim” Wright

Texas Candidates

U.S. Senate (Texas)
Democratic Party candidates
Chris Bell
Michael Cooper
Amanda Edwards
Jack Daniel Foster Jr.
Annie Garcia
Victor Harris
Mary Jennings Hegar
Sema Hernandez
D. R. Hunter
Adrian Ocegueda
Cristina Tzintzún Ramirez
Royce West

Republican Party candidates
John Cornyn (incumbent)
Virgil Bierschwale
John Castro
Dwayne Stovall
Mark Yancey

Independent candidates
Ricardo Turullols-Bonilla

U.S. House of Representatives (District 17 Texas)*
Democratic Party candidates
William Foster III
David Jaramillo
Rick Kennedy

Republican Party candidates
Ahmad Adnan
Scott Bland
Laurie Godfrey McReynolds
George Hindman
Todd Kent
Kristen Alamo Rowin
David Saucedo
Pete Sessions
Trent Sutton
Renee Swann
Elianor Vessali

Libertarian candidates
Ted Brown

*Bill Flores (R) is stepping down

Texas Governor
Greg Abbott (R) – Next election is 2022

Texas Lieutenant Governor
Dan Patrick (R) – Next election is 2022

Texas Attorney General
Ken Paxton (R) – Next election is 2022

Texas Senate (District 5)
Charles Schwertner (R) – Next election is 2022

Texas House of Representatives (District 14)
Democratic Party candidates
Janet Dudding
Raza Rahman

Republican Party candidates
John Raney (incumbent)

Comptroller of Public Accounts
Glenn Hegar (R) – Next election 2022

Commissioner of the General Land Office
George P. Bush (R) – Next election 2022

Commissioner of Agriculture
Sid Miller (R) – Next election 2022

Railroad Commissioner
Democratic Party candidates
Chrysta Castañeda
Roberto “Beto” Alonzo
Kelly Stone
Mark Watson

Republican Party candidates
Ryan Sitton (incumbent)
James Wright

Libertarian Party candidates
Matt Sterett
Charlie Stevens

Read More

March 10

Democrats Abroad (D), Idaho, Michigan, Mississippi, Missouri, North Dakota (D), and Washington primary results: Joe 177+, Bernie 111+ out of 352 delegates; Washington was still counting as of Wednesday at noon.

March 14

Northern Mariana Islands (D), and Guam (R)

March 15

Northern Mariana Islands (R)

March 17

Arizona (D), Florida, Illinois, and Ohio.

March 18

American Samoa (R)

One March 19, 2020, Tulsi dropped out and endorsed Joe Biden.

March 24

Georgia (postponed to May 19)

March 29

Puerto Rico (D) and North Dakota (R) primary results: ND Republicans cancelled election, Trump got 29 out of 29 delegates; PR is TBD.

April 4

Alaska, Hawaii (D), Louisiana, and Wyoming (D)

April 7

Democrats warn people will die as courts rule Wisconsin’s election on for Tuesday Source: NBC News

Wisconsin results: Joe 58, Bernie 13, out of 84 Democratic delegates. Donald 52 out of 52 Republican delegates.

On April 8, Bernie Sanders suspended his campaign.

April 28

Connecticut, Delaware, Maryland, New York, Pennsylvania, and Rhode Island.

May 2

Guam (D), Kansas (D), Virginia (R), and South Carolina (R)

May 5

Indiana

May 9

Arizona (R), and Wyoming (R)

May 12

Nebraska, and West Virginia

May 19

Georgia, Kentucky, and Oregon

May 30

United States Virgin Islands (R)

June 2

District of Columbia, Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico, and South Dakota

June 6

United States Virgin Islands (D)

June 7

Puerto Rico (R)